Climate and epidemiology
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top climate and health issues
-malnutrition - crop failure -extreme weather events -migration -waterbourne diseases -air quality -UV effects etc
whats epidemiology
study of the distribution and determinants of health-related states in specified populations and the application of thus study to control health problems
types of epidemiology
• descriptive (time, place person, Claus to causation and suggests hypotheses) • analytical (test hypothesis, infer causation)
prevalence
number of people with a particular disease/condition/behaviour at a specified time within a defined boundary
incidence
number of new cases of a particular disease/condition/behaviour, in a defined population over a specified period of time
ecological studies
compare promotion of a population exposed to the prevalence of the outcome in the same population
environmental epidemiology
• interested in envtl risk factors • how different environments shape health in different ways • how environments might be used to improve health and wellbeing
IPCC health impacts
• rising temps=increased risk of heat related death and illness • local temp and rainfall changes - change in distribution of water Bourne diseases • reduced food production
problems to the mid 21st century
• exacerbation of existing health problems • existing diseases extend range • new conditions may emerge
if climate change continues as projected
increased risk of: -injury, disease, death (heatwaves), fires, undernutrition, lost work capacity, water Bourne diseases decrease in: -cold-related mortality, vector capacity -postive effects outweighed by negative effects
is there inequality around deaths felt by climate change
-main deaths in Africa and LEDCS
what can we do/to mitigate
• active travel • eat local foods • reduce meat consumption • low carbon electricity • low carbon household generation
what did feel et al estimate
30% reduction in UK livestock and associated reduction in consumption associated with 15% reduction in ischaemic heart disease